主讲嘉宾：张吉鹏 教授

讲座时间：2025年10月17日(星期五)上午10:00

讲座地点：重庆大学B区经济与工商管理学院101报告厅

嘉宾简介：张吉鹏，山东大学经济学院教授，山东大学杰出中青年学者；国家社科基金重大项目首席专家。主要研究方向为劳动经济，公共财政与收入分配，在《中国社会科学》、《经济研究》、International Economic Review以及Journal of Development Economics等国内外顶级期刊发表论文，获高等学校科学研究优秀成果奖（人文社会科学），主持国家自然科学基金面上项目和招商局慈善基金会团队课题。主持教学改革项目，获本科生和研究生教学成果奖，指导多名学生获得国家奖学金、省优秀毕业生、优秀博士论文奖和“当代经济学博士创新项目”。

讲座摘要：Leveraging a novel wave of data from the China Household Finance Survey, we document that 60% of cross-prefecture migrants eventually returned to their hometowns, with family and retirement-related concerns being the predominant motivation. To analyze the economic consequences of “return migration”, we build a dynamic spatial general equilibrium model that features multiple migration decisions throughout a lifecycle. The migration decisions hinge on wage differentials, the pension system, access to public goods, and attachments to one’s hometown. We find that the institutional barriers that “forced” the migrants to return home slowed down the pace of urbanization, reduced aggregate output and welfare, and exacerbated spatial inequality in China. Moreover, incorporating return migration in spatial models could alter how the economy responds to economic shocks such as migration and trade liberalization, as well as the effects of place-based policies.